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From:
"GIEWS1 (EST)" <[log in to unmask]>
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GIEWS1 (EST)
Date:
Tue, 17 Jun 2014 11:05:39 +0200
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·       El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Review of possible impact on agricultural production in 2014/15 following the increased probability of occurrence

·       El Niño-Oscillation australe (ENSO): examen de l'impact possible sur la production agricole en 2014/15, suite à la probabilité accrue de survenance

·        El Niño - Oscilación Sur (ENOS): Evaluación del impacto potencial sobre la producción agrícola de 2014/15 en vista a una mayor probabilidad de su ocurrencia

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17 June 2014

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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Possible impact on crop production in 2014/15



[cid:image054.png@01CF8A1C.0EB0F830] Current meteorological forecasts indicate a 70 percent probability of El Niño occurring during the Northern Hemisphere's summer and 80 percent during the autumn or winter.

[cid:image054.png@01CF8A1C.0EB0F830] Although no precise quantitative correlation has been established between the occurrence of El Niño and changes in agricultural production, a general pattern of potential changes in weather conditions and the possible impacts on agricultural production is given.

[cid:image054.png@01CF8A1C.0EB0F830] The effect on agriculture will depend on the timing and severity of the El Niño, as well as the crop calendar in a particular region.



[cid:image055.jpg@01CF8A1C.0EB0F830]Go to full update<http://www.fao.org/giews/english/shortnews/enso17062014.pdf>





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