Click here for the Briefing Paper in English; http://sites.tufts.edu/feinstein/files/2012/06/Briefing-Paper-Economics-of-Pastoral-Livestock.pdf
Click here for the Briefing Paper in Arabic:
http://sites.tufts.edu/feinstein/files/2012/06/TUFTS_1255_livestock_Behnke_Arabic_4.pdf
3. Also check out "Pastoralism and Development in Africa: Dynamic change at the margins" (shared by Fallou Gueye/FAO/AGAS)
Edited by Andy Catley, Jeremy Lind and Ian Scoones
Routledge / Earthscan, July 2012
£24.95
Website:
www.steps-centre.org

Go to following link for copy of the report:
http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/agriculture-and-food/oecd-fao-agricultural-outlook-2012_agr_outlook-2012-en
The Outlook in Brief: 2012-2021
Despite strong prices, slower production growth is anticipated. Growth in global
agricultural production has been above 2% p.a. over the past several decades, but is
projected to slow to 1.7% p.a. over the next decade. Growing resource constraints,
environmental pressures, and higher costs for some inputs are anticipated to inhibit
supply response in virtually all regions. In this context, this
Outlook suggests that more
attention be paid to increasing sustainable agricultural productivity growth.
Based on their greater potential to increase land devoted to agriculture and to improve
productivity, developing countries will provide the main source of global production growth
to 2021. Annual production growth in developing countries is projected to average 1.9% p.a.
compared to 1.2% p.a. in developed countries. An additional 680million people are expected
to inhabit the planet by 2021 with the fastest population growth rates in Africa and India.
Rising incomes and urbanisation will lead to changes in diets that shift consumption to more
processed foods, fats and animal protein. This will favour higher value meats and dairy
products, and drive the indirect demand for coarse grains and oilseeds for livestock feed.
Emerging economies will capture an increasing share of the expanding world trade in
agriculture. Most prominent are countries like Brazil, China, Indonesia, Thailand, the
Russian Federation and the Ukraine that have made significant investments to boost
agricultural production capacity. By 2021, developing countries will account for the
majority of exports of rice, oilseeds, vegetable and palm oil, protein meals, sugar, beef,
poultry meat, fish and fish products.