FAO GIEWS Update- El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Possible impact on crop production in 2014/15 --17 June 2014

·       El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Review of possible impact on agricultural production in 2014/15 following the increased probability of occurrence

·       El Niño-Oscillation australe (ENSO): examen de l’impact possible sur la production agricole en 2014/15, suite à la probabilité accrue de survenance

·        El Niño - Oscilación Sur (ENOS): Evaluación del impacto potencial sobre la producción agrícola de 2014/15 en vista a una mayor probabilidad de su ocurrencia

 

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17 June 2014

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El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Possible impact on crop production in 2014/15

 

http://www.fao.org/giews/english/imgs/orangebox.gif Current meteorological forecasts indicate a 70 percent probability of El Niño occurring during the Northern Hemisphere’s summer and 80 percent during the autumn or winter.

http://www.fao.org/giews/english/imgs/orangebox.gif Although no precise quantitative correlation has been established between the occurrence of El Niño and changes in agricultural production, a general pattern of potential changes in weather conditions and the possible impacts on agricultural production is given.

http://www.fao.org/giews/english/imgs/orangebox.gif The effect on agriculture will depend on the timing and severity of the El Niño, as well as the crop calendar in a particular region.



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